CHA2DS2-VASC Predicted Thrombotic Risk in Patients With MPNs and Atrial Fibrillation

November 16, 2023

Andrea S. Blevins Primeau, PhD, MBA

Although CHA2DS2-VASC does not account for myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs), it accurately predicted thrombotic risk in this patient population with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, HAS-BLED did not predict bleeding risk, according to the results of a retrospective study.

“Further investigation is needed to refine risk scores in MPN,” the authors wrote in their report. The study, which was published in the Journal of Thrombosis and Thrombolysis, analyzed data from 1617 patients with and 24,185 matched patients without MPNs from the National Readmission Database. All patients had AF. The primary outcomes were in-hospital or 30-day readmission for bleeding or thrombosis.

Characteristics were balanced between the cohorts. Overall, 29% of patients were on long-term anticoagulation, 25% were on long-term antiplatelet therapy. Comorbidities were common, with 76% of patients with hypertension, 42% with congestive heart failure, 35% with anemia, 33% with coronary artery disease, 24% with chronic lung disease, and 22% with diabetes.

However, patients with MPN were not at an increased risk of bleeding, with 2.60% experiencing a bleed compared with 2.98% of patients without MPNs (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.63-1.19). Risk of bleeding was not accurately predicted by HAS-BLED, with a c-statistic of 0.55 (95% CI, 0.46-0.64) among patients with MPNs. For patients without MPN, the HAS-BLED was moderately predictive (c-statistic, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.54-0.58).

Patients with MPN were more likely to experience bleeding if their MPN type was essential thrombocythemia (P =.009), if they had anemia (P <.001), peripheral vascular disease (P =.024), or chronic kidney disease (P =.047). However, after multivariate analysis only ET remained independently associated with bleeding (adjusted OR, 3.08; 95% CI, 1.04-9.16).

Any hospital readmission within 30 days occurred among 18.6% of patients with MPN compared with 11.9% of patients without MPNs (P <.001). Within 90 days, 26.4% and 20.4% of patients with and without MPNs had a hospital readmission (P <.001).

Cardiovascular (CV)-related hospital readmission, which included arterial thrombosis, heart failure, and arrythmia, was also more common among patients with MPNs, occurring among 6.2% compared with 5.0% without MPN within 30 days (P =.046). However, there was no significant difference in CV readmission rates during the 90-day period.

Reference
Leiva O, How J, Grevet J, et al. In-hospital and readmission outcomes of patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms and atrial fibrillation: insights from the National Readmissions Database. J Thromb Thrombolysis. Published online October 15, 2023. doi: 10.1007/s11239-023-02900-z

Read more

Posted in Blood Cancer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *