Disease Duration, Elevated WBC Count, and VAF Predict Disease Progression in Polycythemia Vera

June 14, 2024

Author(s): Megan Hollasch

Time from diagnosis to enrollment, elevated white blood cell (WBC) count, and variant allele frequency (VAF) were significantly associated with an increased risk of disease progression among patients with polycythemia vera (PV), according to data from the phase 4 prospective, observational REVEAL study (NCT02252159) presented at the 2024 EHA Congress by Michael R. Grunwald, MD.

“Five predictors of PV progression were identified: disease duration, thrombotic event [TE] history, WBC count of greater than 11 × 109/L, hematocrit [HCT] level of 0.45 L/L or lower, and VAF. However, HCT [level] of 0.45 L/L or lower may be confounded by disease duration and cytoreductive treatment covariates. These results provide additional support for the use of disease duration and elevated WBC and VAF as risk factors for disease progression, and identify history of TEs as a potential novel risk factor,” Grunwald and coauthors wrote in a poster presentation of the findings. Grunwald is chief of the Leukemia Division at Atrium Health’s Levine Cancer Institute and director of the Transplantation and Cellular Therapy Program at Levine Cancer Institute in Charlotte, North Carolina.

At a median follow-up of 3.7 years, findings from REVEAL, the largest prospective, observational clinical study in patients with PV to date (n = 2023), showed that 6.7% of patients progressed to myelofibrosis (MF). Results from a univariate analysis of patients with vs without progression revealed that significant covariates consisted of time from PV diagnosis to enrollment (OR, 1.065; 95% CI, 1.040-1.090; P < .0001), history of TEs (yes vs no; OR, 1.722; 95% CI, 1.170-2.534; P = .0059), HCT levels of 0.45 L/L or lower (>0.45 vs ≤0.45 L/L; OR, 0.593; 95% CI, 0.410-0.858; P = .0056), and white blood cell (WBC) count of greater than 11 × 109/L at enrollment (>11 vs ≤11 × 109/L; OR, 2.053; 95% CI, 1.445-2.918; P < .0001).

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